China Net Finance July 20 News The State Council Information Office held a press conference at 10 am on July 20, 2022. Zeng Yande, chief agronomist and director of the Development Planning Department of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, introduced the operation of the agricultural and rural economy in the first half of 2022. And answer reporters' questions.
The following is the transcript of the conference:
reporter:At present, the downward pressure on the domestic economy is relatively large, and the common people are very concerned about the price trend. How was the situation of the domestic agricultural product market in the first half of the year? How is the later trend?
Liu Han, head of the Marketing and Information Technology Department of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs:As the saying goes, the people take food as the sky, and the food keeps the world safe. The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs continued to strengthen the tracking and analysis of agricultural product markets while ensuring stable production and supply of grain and important agricultural products. From the perspective of monitoring and scheduling, in the first half of the year, the supply of key varieties of "rice bags" and "vegetable baskets" in my country was sufficient, and the overall price fluctuations were not large, which provided important support for coping with the impact of the new crown pneumonia epidemic and maintaining the basic stability of prices. According to the monitoring of our Ministry, from January to June, the "200 Index of Wholesale Prices of Agricultural Products" was 127.96, a year-on-year increase of 2.49 points. According to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, food prices in the first half of this year fell by 0.4% year-on-year, affecting the CPI drop by about 0.08 percentage points. . By species:
Prices of the three major staple grains rose steadily. In June, the average monthly price of rice, wheat and corn in the three grain bazaars was 135 yuan per 100 catties, an increase of 4.6% over January and a year-on-year increase of 4.5%. Among them, the prices of rice and corn were basically stable, and the prices of wheat, driven by rising production costs and the influence of transmission in the international market, recovered and rose, but the increase was far lower than the increase in the international market. In June, the price of ordinary wheat in the Zhengzhou grain wholesale market was 1.54 yuan per catty, an increase of 8.5% over January and a year-on-year increase of 22%. The increase was about 11 percentage points and 54 percentage points lower than the international wheat price.
The price trend of soybean and edible vegetable oil is relatively strong. Affected by factors such as tight international soybean supply, blocked sunflower oil exports from Ukraine, and speculation by speculative capital, the international oil and oil prices have risen at a high level this year, which has also driven domestic prices to strengthen. In June, the after-tax price of imported soybeans in Shandong was 2.75 yuan per kilogram, a year-on-year increase of 14.7%, and the ex-factory prices of soybean oil and rapeseed oil rose by more than 30% year-on-year. However, due to my country's sufficient oil reserves and strong control capabilities, coupled with the increase in rapeseed production, the domestic edible vegetable oil market is guaranteed to supply, and the price increase is lower than the international market.
Pork prices bottomed out and rebounded, and "vegetable basket" products fluctuated seasonally. Since the end of March, pork prices have continued to rise. In June, the monthly average wholesale price of pork was 21.57 yuan per kilogram, a month-on-month increase of 4.3% and a year-on-year decrease of 8.2%. Vegetables, fruits, eggs and other key varieties are in sufficient supply. Due to rising costs and the impact of continuous high temperature weather, the current price level is higher than the same period last year, but the fluctuations are basically in line with perennial laws.
In the first half of the year, despite facing many internal and external risks and challenges, my country's agricultural products are expected to continue to maintain a stable volume and price. From the perspective of production, the summer grain has been harvested again, and the area of autumn grain has grown steadily and is growing well. On the ground, the stock of reproductive sows is in a reasonable range, the production capacity of meat, eggs and milk is stable, the field area and output of vegetables have increased, and the foundation for stable production and supply is solid. From the perspective of inventory, the total social inventory of rice and wheat is at a historically high level, which can meet the demand for food ration consumption for more than one year, and the corn inventory has also increased. From the perspective of imports, the accumulated grain imports from January to June were 79.78 million tons, down slightly year-on-year. With the drop in international grain prices, grain imports are expected to increase steadily. From the perspective of consumption, the consumption of important agricultural products such as edible vegetable oil, sugar, livestock products, and aquatic products will recover to some extent, but it will remain stable on the whole, with limited price pull. thanks.
(Editor in charge: Tan Mengtong)
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